MLB Rookie of the Year Rankings: Henderson, Carroll poised to win

MLB Rookie of the Year Rankings: Henderson, Carroll poised to win

Welcome to the fifth and final edition of theScore’s 2023 Rookie of the Year rankings, where we pick five top candidates from each league.

American League

5. Josh Jung, Rangers

Justin K. Aller / Getty Images Sport / Getty

GP
HR
RBI
R
AVG/OBP/SLG
WAR
ODDS

109
22
67
70
.274/.323/.489
2.5
+5000

Jung still has the second-best fWAR among rookies in the AL despite missing the past month due to a fractured thumb. Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said last week that the 25-year-old is still a few weeks away. Jung has a chance to make a run for the award if he gets hot when he returns, as he remains in the top five in several major offensive categories among freshmen. However, he’s not considered a favorite for now.

4. Yennier Cano, Orioles

G Fiume / Getty Images Sport / Getty

IP
ERA
K
WHIP
SV+H
WAR
ODDS

65.1
1.65
58
0.95
35
1.5
N/A

Cano has allowed one earned run with two saves and a hold over five appearances since All-Star closer Félix Bautista went down with an elbow injury. That singular earned run is also the only one Cano has surrendered since August. He’s recorded 12 strikeouts with one walk during this stretch.

3. Tanner Bibee, Guardians

Jason Miller / Getty Images Sport / Getty

IP
ERA
FIP
K
WHIP
WAR
ODDS

129.2
3.05
3.73
129
1.23
2.5
+1400

Bibee has surrendered three or more runs in just one start since the beginning of August. However, he’s had some shorter outings, so many of his numbers have stayed relatively the same. He’s logged the second-most innings and strikeouts among freshmen AL hurlers and owns the second-best ERA and fifth-lowest WHIP.

2. Triston Casas, Red Sox

Boston Globe / Boston Globe / Getty

GP
HR
RBI
R
AVG/OBP/SLG
WAR
ODDS

125
23
60
63
.268/.369/.499
1.7
+800

Casas makes his first appearance in the rankings at the end of the season after being overshadowed by teammate Masataka Yoshida for a good portion of the year. The 23-year-old first baseman has really turned it on since the All-Star break, raising his OPS by 145 points en route to an AL-best .868 OPS among qualified rookies. Casas also is tied with Gunnar Henderson for homers.

1. Gunnar Henderson, Orioles

G Fiume / Getty Images Sport / Getty

GP
HR
RBI
R
AVG/OBP/SLG
WAR
ODDS

128
23
70
81
.251/.326/.476
3.2
-800

Henderson’s path to Rookie of the Year looks clear enough if he continues to play the way he has for months and stays on the field. He easily has the best fWAR in the AL and continues to be a difference-maker on both sides of the ball for the division-leading Orioles. The 22-year-old leads first-year players in the Junior Circuit in runs, homers, and RBIs. He’s also second in hits and sixth in OPS.

National League

5. Patrick Bailey, Giants

Andy Kuno/San Francisco Giants / Getty Images Sport / Getty

GP
HR
RBI
R
AVG/OBP/SLG
WAR
ODDS

84
7
45
26
.248/.304/.390
2.9
N/A

Bailey’s defensive acumen is the reason he’s made a major impact despite a below-average bat. He leads MLB rookies with a 23.5 defensive rating, according to FanGraphs. The 24-year-old catcher has also thrown out 30% of potential base-stealers. However, Bailey recently landed on the concussion IL, so the injury prevents him from moving up in the rankings.

4. Matt McLain, Reds

Rob Tringali / Major League Baseball / Getty

GP
HR
RBI
R
AVG/OBP/SLG
SB
WAR
ODDS

 89
16
50
65
.290/.357/.507
14
3.2
+3300

McLain is another player who’s dropped in the rankings because he got hurt. The 24-year-old shortstop looked like the favorite to finish runner-up for the award before sustaining an oblique injury at the end of August. It remains to be seen if he returns to the Reds during the regular season. However, McLain still owns the highest batting average and OPS among qualified NL freshmen.

3. James Outman, Dodgers

Denis Poroy / Getty Images Sport / Getty

GP
HR
RBI
R
AVG/OBP/SLG
SB
WAR
ODDS

129
18
62
73
.255/.362/.436
14
3.7
+20000

In the early stages of the 2023 season, Outman looked like he would be going head-to-head with Corbin Carroll for Rookie of the Year. However, the former dropped off before a second-half resurgence. The 26-year-old outfielder has hit safely in 10 of his last 13 games, which include three homers and 10 RBIs.

2. Kodai Senga, Mets

Jim McIsaac / Getty Images Sport / Getty

IP
ERA
FIP
K
WHIP
WAR
ODDS

143.1
3.08
3.47
176
1.23
3.1
+2200

Senga is poised to surpass the 200-strikeout plateau in his rookie season. That accomplishment would likely lead to hardware most years if Carroll were not putting up superstar numbers at the plate. Nevertheless, the Japanese right-hander leads the NL in innings pitched and strikeouts. He’s also second in batting average against among qualified hurlers.

1. Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks

Christian Petersen / Getty Images Sport / Getty

GP
HR
RBI
R
AVG/OBP/SLG
SB
WAR
ODDS

135
24
68
101
.280/.362/.522
41
5.2
-10000

Carroll leads NL freshmen in runs, homers, triples, stolen bases, and OPS. He still has a shot to become the first player in MLB history with at least 30 homers and 50 stolen bases during a rookie campaign. However, he left Wednesday’s game with a wrist contusion after getting hit by a pitch. Carroll’s still a lock to win the award even if he misses time.

Copyright © 2023 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.


Full Story »

Comments

Leave a Comment






The reCAPTCHA verification period has expired. Please reload the page.

More in News

Phillies could get key player back from injury for NLCS

The Philadelphia Phillies could be getting a significant boost for ...

Phillies’ Realmuto calls D-Backs’ confidence ‘daunting’

Philadelphia Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto isn't going to take the ...

Rangers activate Max Scherzer for ALCS: What starter means for Texas’ chances vs. Houston

Max is back. The Rangers officially placed starter Max Scherzer ...

2023 MLB odds: Why you should bet on Astros to win the ALCS, MVP pick

Astros baseball in October has become inevitable. FOX Sports MLB ...

Rangers vs. Astros predictions, start time, how to watch, pitching matchups: Live updates

Follow along as the Rangers take on the Astros in ...

Trending on Baseball Chronicle

The Diamondbacks belong, and they’re ready for what awaits in Philadelphia

As Arizona has surged this postseason, manager Torey Lovullo has ...

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Highlights

Check out the highlights as the Texas Rangers took on ...

A’s trade pitcher Shintaro Fujinami to Orioles

Versatile rookie pitcher, 29, could bolster Orioles' staff in competitive ...

Angels call up 1B Nolan Schanuel less than six weeks after drafting him

The Los Angeles Angels are calling up first baseman Nolan ...